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Tag: Prediction markets

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Easy Prediction for 2026: Insider Trading Concerns

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Will Anthropic go public by December 31, 2026? Most people on Polymarket think so (it costs one dollar to win 71 cents as of this writing). But we wouldn’t advise betting on it, especially if you’re an Anthropic employee. Anthropic is consi...

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Agencies Say “Ask Again Later” on Authority Over Prediction Markets

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Here’s a question that might be fun to bet on over at Kalshi or Polymarket: which regulator will oversee prediction markets this time next year—the CFTC or the states? Or maybe: will the SEC approve a prediction market-based ETF in 2026? Cu...

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