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Tag: CFTC

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Easy Prediction for 2026: Insider Trading Concerns

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Will Anthropic go public by December 31, 2026? Most people on Polymarket think so (it costs one dollar to win 71 cents as of this writing). But we wouldn’t advise betting on it, especially if you’re an Anthropic employee. Anthropic is consi...

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Five Takeaways from the SEC’s (Newly Annual) Regulatory Agenda, and What it Says About the Commission’s Priorities

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For decades, federal agencies have, with few exceptions, published the Unified Agenda twice each year: a list of every rule they plan to propose or finalize in the months ahead. It rarely makes headlines, but for anyone building out a discl...

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Agencies Say “Ask Again Later” on Authority Over Prediction Markets

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Here’s a question that might be fun to bet on over at Kalshi or Polymarket: which regulator will oversee prediction markets this time next year—the CFTC or the states? Or maybe: will the SEC approve a prediction market-based ETF in 2026? Cu...

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By Extending Compliance Deadlines, is the SEC ‘Deregulating by Delay?’

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Recently, the Securities and Exchange Commission delayed the compliance date for a handful of regulations. It’s happened often enough lately that it could appear to some that the agency is engaging in “deregulation by delay.” For example, t...

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Five Ways White-Collar Enforcement Is Changing

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Since the transition to a new presidential administration in January, policies on trade and immigration have dominated the news. The administration’s approach to white-collar law enforcement isn’t generating the same buzz, but tangible and...

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